Support for Trump grows marginally in Daily poll

Sunday, October 2, 2016 - 3:08pm


During the lead up to the presidential election, The Michigan Daily is polling students about campaign issues every two weeks. This is the second iteration of the survey.

This week, the survey was sent to 1,000 University of Michigan students and received 231 responses over a period of five days. The sample was chosen randomly from University undergraduates and reported in the aggregate.

 

The respondents of the survey overwhelmingly identified as Democrats at 51 percent. 17 percent identified with the Republican Party. The rest of the respondents identified as Independent, Libertarian or did not identify with a party.

The responses follow national trends of millennials tending to vote Democratic. Pew Research center found that, nationally, 51 percent of millennials identify as or lean Democratic, compared to 35 percent who identify with the Republican Party. This trend also spans the past few decades, with more and more college graduates identifying as Democrats.

Responses to the Daily polling reached 89 percent when asked if they would vote in the upcoming election with the majority responding with “definitely yes” or “probably yes.”

When asked if they were registered to vote, 91 percent of the respondents responded ‘yes.’ Seven percent reported that they were not registered, and 1 percent responded as too young to vote.

When given the option of every candidate on the ballot, 70 percent of the respondents said they would vote for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. The rest of the group was split mostly between GOP nominee Donald Trump (12 percent) and Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson (11.7 percent). However, when only given the option of Clinton, Trump or “other,” the numbers changed, with 75 percent saying they would vote for Clinton and 15 percent saying they would vote for Trump.

LSA junior Enrique Zalamea, President of College Republicans, said the Daily’s polling is reflective of the growing base of supporters Trump has in Michigan.

“Mr. Trump polling at nearly double that of the previous Michigan Daily poll is tangible proof of College Republicans' efforts in advocating the Trump campaign amongst our membership,” Zalamea said. “Just last Friday we took a group of UMCR members to attend Mr. Trump’s Novi Michigan Rally, where his campaign was generous enough to provide us with VIP seating. Mr. Trump even spoke to us privately before the rally to thank us all for our efforts in volunteering for and promoting his campaign. The rally itself drew an incredibly passionate crowd in the thousands and maintained an energy level unparalleled to any political event I have ever attended.”

College Democrats declined to comment. 

When compared to a poll done by the Daily on Sept. 18, more students said they would vote for Clinton at 74 percent, but fewer reported that they would vote for Trump at 6 percent. Gary Johnson’s support remains steady, suggesting that some of Clinton’s support may have been lost to the third-party candidates or Trump. In recent interviews with the Daily, students cited frustration with the two party candidates reasons for siding with third-party candidates.

However, overwhelming support for Clinton has been visible on campus since her victory of U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) for the nomination. The University has an active Students for Hillary chapter, and the University chapter of College Democrats endorsed her in July. Also in support of the Democratic nominee are those from the newly created club — Students Against Trump — also supports her. Ann Arbor additionally recently hosted vice presidential candidate Tim Kaine and his wife Anne Holton, in separate visits.

Nonetheless, though there is no Students for Trump chapter on campus, the University’s chapter of College Republicans has recently endorsed Trump and has since become a more active force on campus. Trump himself also visited Novi, Mich., last Friday for a rally focusing on bringing jobs back to Michigan and defaming his opponent.

When asked which three issues were most important to them as voters, students ranked the economy, social issues and gun violence, respectively, as the most important issues. They also ranked leadership and experience as the most important qualities in a presidential candidate.

Demographically, 51 percent of respondents reported male, 48 percent as female and 0.43 percent reported themselves as “other.” Nationally, 1.4 million adult Americans classify themselves as transgender, or 0.0044 percent. Of the survey’s respondents, approximately 27 percent reported themselves as freshmen, 18 percent as sophomores, 26 percent as juniors and 29 percent as seniors. Less than one percent self-reported as graduate students.